The Global Boom in New Indicators
The perennial debate over whether income is a good measure of
development continues. Today there is wide agreement that many
other measures besides per-capita income are needed for measuring
overall progress, from health and education to environmental quality.
Todd Moss of the Center for Global Development reviewed the debate
in Is Wealthier Really Healthier? (Foreign Policy, March/April 2005).
The first program in the new TV series "Ethical Markets" advanced the
debate in Redefining Success, airing on PBS stations
covering 44 million households in the USA. (Details on all 13 shows
at .)
The book, Ethical Markets: Growing the Green Economy is on Chelsea Green's
Fall/Winter 2006-7 book list.
We are proud that our Calvert-Henderson indicators are now being translated into Chinese
by the Chinese Acadamy of Sciences in Beijing.
A 2005 study for the National Academies of Science, Beyond the Market focuses
on the non-money sectors, long covered in my books. Methodologically challenged,
the report's Advisory Panel was composed solely of economists whose training produces
the very myopia they were charged to overcome. Better approaches include the OECD's social
indicators in Society at a Glance (March 2005, OECD, Paris France), which
surveys its 30 member industrial nations with evidence on whether they have more or less
equality, cohesiveness and health - using similar indicator sets as ours at Calvert-Henderson
and Revolutionary Wealth by futurists Alvin and Heidi Toffler and The Real
Wealth of Nations by Riane Eisler.
The Hon. Roy J. Romanow, chair of the Canadian Romanow Commission on the
future of health care in Canada, launched the new
Canadian Index of Wellbeing (CIW), covered in Reality Check, Issues #10. The
Atkinson Charitable Foundation released the first CIW in fall 2005. For
details, visit .
The Second International Conference on Gross National Happiness,
convened in Nova Scotia, Canada, June 20-24, 2005 and hosted by Canada's Governor
General Adrienne Clarkson, rated a 2,500 word story in the
New York Times (Oct 9, 2005). This conference followed up the
first conference on Gross National Happiness held in Bhutan, February, 2004. It is
another initiative from Canada’s Reality Check, which breaks
new ground in assessing the impacts of new policy proposals to create
more jobs and reduce poverty gaps by eliminating overtime and shortening
work weeks. (See ).
Reality Check's editor, Ron Coleman, serves on the Calvert-Henderson Advisory Board.
The Millennium Ecosystem Assessment, released in March 2005, synthesizes
information from scientific literature, peer-reviewed data sets and models.
This global tool incorporates knowledge held by the private sector, practitioners,
local communities and indigenous peoples, concerning the state of natural
systems and human well-being. These useful Reports will be published by the
World Resources Institute and Island Press, Washington, DC. Synthesis
Reports are downloadable from
.
The new (EPI) was released in 2006 in a pilot from by
Yale University, Columbia University, and the WOrld Economic Forum. Top ranked
countries were New Zealand, Sweden, Finland, the Czech Republic and Britain.
Another look at quality of life on the whole planet can be found in
the World Wildlife Fund's Living Planet Report. This report uses
scientific analysis to compare the Ecological Footprints of 150 nations and is now
available from our Advisory Board Member Mathis Wackernagel who
co-edits the report
().
Local quality of life was rated by The Economist's Intelligence Unit
in a ranking of cities' "liveability." Surprizingly, Cleveland and Pittsburgh
were rated the top two cities in the US with Vancouver, Canada the overall winner.
The breakthrough conference on quality-of-life indicators, ICONS, in
Curitiba, Brasil, October 2003, which brought together over 700
statisticians, policy wonks, government officials and business leaders,
yielded some important concessions from the IMF. The consensus
among statisticians about the need for national accounts to include
assets created by public investments was endorsed by Brasil’s
finance minister in his negotiations with the IMF. The fund agreed
in April 2004 that needed public investments in infrastructure could
be excluded from Brasil’s calculations of its ‘primary
surplus’ on a pilot project basis. This ‘backdoor’
admission of the need to include accrual accounting in GDP is a
step in the right direction. But it’s high time the IMF took
some leadership in requiring that a country’s investments in
infrastructure assets be properly accounted for so as to offset
public debt. Today, the lack of asset accounts overstates public
debt. Furthermore, such public investments, beyond water treatment,
public health, roads, etc. should also include investments in education.
Conferences like ICONS bring quality-of-life debates to the fore, such as the
different preferences of Europeans for leisure versus what they see as a "workaholic"
US society. Jeremy Rifkin's The European Dream (2004) explores these
differences in cultural choices, which are ignored by traditional economic statistics.
These issues and how to reform international finance, the World Bank, and the IMF
are the subject of five 26 minute TV programs in the new series
"Ethical Markets." This mini-series, "International Financial Reform,"
is moderated by me and will first be aired in Brasil. Guest panelists
are Kenneth Rogoff (former Chief Economist of the IMF), Sakiko Fukuda-Parr (lead
author of the UN Human Development Report), and John Perkins (author of the
explosive new best-seller, Confessions of an Economic HitMan Berrett-Koehler,
San Francisco, 2004). These programs are being used in several business schools
and can be ordered in DVD or VHS from www.ethicalmarkets.com.
The ICONS conference was preceded
by a gathering of 600 business executives interested in exploring
socially responsible business and investing, co-sponsored by Brasil's
Instituto Ethos de Empresas Responsibilidade Sociale, on whose
international board I serve. The broader
focus of both conferences on indicators measuring socially responsible
companies, ethical investing and overhauling economic statistics
and national accounts (GNP and GDP) brought together statisticians
specializing in both macro level indicators and micro measures of
urban quality of life and corporate social performance.
These back-to-back conferences drew participants
from all over Latin America as well as from North America, Europe
and China. Most impressive at the ICONS conference (papers at
)
were the quality-of-life indicators from Brasil's statisticians
at the Brasilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE), The
Research Institute of Applied Economics (IPEA), the Universities
of Sao Paulo, Fundacao Dom Cabral and the Social and Economic Development
Index. Many municipal research institutes also presented, including
the State of Rio Grande do Sul, the State and City of Sao Paulo's
social responsibility indicators, SEADE and the Atlas ranking Quality
of Life in Brasil's cities. I presented The Calvert-Henderson
Quality of Life Indicators at the opening plenary session.
Most participants, while using economic statistics,
recognized the problems with macro-economic measures like GNP and
GDP, which are too highly aggregated to offer useful real world
detail. They "fly over" a country like a plane at 50,000 feet, so
that per-capita averaged income masks poverty gaps, social exclusion
and mal-distribution between urban, rural and regional populations.
Even sessions organized by business groups focused on broader health,
education and equity issues, as well as on "triple bottom line"
(social environmental and economic) corporate accounting, socially
responsible business, investing and consumerism. The Brasil Council
for Sustainable Development focused on the environment and eco-efficiency.
Brasil has led in the creation of the new indicators
since hosting the 1992 UN Earth Summit in Rio de Janeiro, where
over 170 governments agreed on Agenda 21 to overhaul GNP/GDP by
broadening its scope to account for human, social and environmental
capital and costs of depletion and social disruption - "externalities"
not born by the private sector and ignored by mainstream economists.
Only when all these costs are "internalized" on corporate and government
balance sheets, can prices reflect full costs, so as to steer societies
in more optimal, healthy directions toward sustainable development
and quality of life. All this new activity has been accelerated
by the news of the corporate crime scandals and political corruption
in the USA. Similar revelations spread to Europe in 2003. The costs
and harmful effects borne by others are often ignored as "externalities"
in economist-speak. Now those hidden social and environmental costs
are being quantified.
The enthusiasm of participants in such conferences may be related to
their former sense of isolation within traditional business and government institutions
and operating under conventional economics. Fragmented approaches
of individual disciplines have created a conceptual Tower of Babel,
with an inability to see whole social systems now requiring integrated
policies. Economists, sociologists, demographers, anthropologists,
game theorists, biologists, health statisticians and ecologists
all rubbed shoulders and found useful interfaces and opportunities
for more trans-disciplinary cooperation.
New alliances are being forged between banks and "green"
asset managers, for example, Banco REAL, Banco do Brasil and the
new BOVESPA Index of superior corporate governance (which has outperformed
the regular BOVESPA since its inception some 2 years ago). BOVESPA
has launched a new Social Stock Exchange composed of nonprofit civic
organizations and charities so that they now receive investments for social
returns. Already this new market for social investors has closed budget gaps
for many vital Brasilian charities. BOVESPA also has a new "green" Index of sustainable companies, similar
to the Dow-Jones Sustainability Group Index, London's FTSE 4Good,
the US-based CALVIN Index and the Domini Social 400.
Brasil's new statistics include measuring its cultural
assets: creativity, design, music, art and growing efforts to close
its poverty gap and create a participatory democracy to include
all its racially and ethnically diverse citizens. As the ICONS participants
agreed, statisticians and technicians should strive to communicate
their data widely - as servants to all people and the democratic
process.
The conference hosted by Bhutan February 18-20, 2004, was the first
where statisticians reviewed plans to operationalize
that country’s new Gross National Happiness indicators.
Additional ICONS conferences planned for Europe and China attested
to the excitement as these innovative experts with their broader
statistical "cameras" revealed new social, epidemiological and environmental
landscapes. Methodological issues: what to measure, how to measure,
at what levels - from local, municipal, corporate to national and
international - dominated the sessions. Values and cultural norms
underlying government statistics and corporate accounting were highlighted
- particularly the new "triple bottom line" reporting of corporations'
economic, social and environmental performance (),
in which Calvert is a leader.
The Earth Institute at Columbia University, headed
by Jeffrey Sachs, monitors the Millennium Development Goals for the
21st century agreed on by over 190 UN member states in 2000. Sachs
picks up the issue of investments in infrastructure as the bedrock
of human development. Sachs fails to call for the remedy
of including asset accounts in GDP to track the value of infrastructure
-- but merely notes the shortfall in African countries vis-à-vis
other developing countries ("Doing the Sums on Africa,"
The Economist, May 22, 2004). Among the Millenium
Development Goals: reducing
poverty and the global gap between the world's rich and poor; bringing
better nutrition, education and health care to the world's 2 billion
deprived people - and reducing military arsenals while resolving
conflicts by negotiation and peaceful means. US support for
the UN rose on its continued relevance in matters
of war and peace, despite cynicism over the Food for Oil scandal.
The effort of Sach's
team to operationalize these Goals is summarized in his book, The End of Poverty (2005).
New sensitivity on the part of the Bush Administration
was seen in the call for faster progress and better indicators -
to measure achievement toward poverty alleviation goals of the Millennium
Summit. The US made commitments to the Millennium Challenge Account
(MCA) providing $5 billion annually to a select group of developing
countries and an additional $10 billion to combat HIV/AIDS in Africa
and the Caribbean. These pledges were augmented in the G8 Summit
of July 2005. The new Millennium Challenge Corporation will
run the MCA based on 16 quantitative indicators to measure the extent
to which countries are
"ruling justly, investing in their people and establishing economic freedom."
These unbundled indicators (beyond
simplistic GDP-growth and ability to service external debt) include
among budget deficits and trade policy, such broader indicators
as immunization rates, primary-school completion rates, control
of corruption and protection of civil liberties. For a deeper look
at these new international aid initiatives, see "Bush and Foreign Aid"
by Steven Rodelet of the Center for Global Development (Foreign
Affairs, Sept-Oct, 2003) and his colleague David Roodman's new indicators
(Ranking the Rich, Foreign Policy, May/June 2004 and its new report
Sept-Oct, 2005) ranking rich countries'
generosity in aid programs to alleviate poverty ().
Greater policy focus is on the absurdity of measuring
a country's progress by growth of its per capita GDP. An example,
now becoming clear to Wall Street, bond and currency markets, involves
the rapid upward revaluation of Brasil's fundamentals
despite recent political scandals. Many of these
still lie outside traditional macro-economic analysis: its energy
independence (bountiful hydropower, solar, wind, ethanol as well
as oil), millions of hectares of virgin arable land; incomparable
ecological assets (rainforests, rivers, over 2,000 miles of unspoiled
beaches, unique flora and fauna); a youthful population of 180 million
and a robust domestic market within a land area comparable to the
USA (less reliance on export-led growth). Such assets are not all
accounted for in GDP, nor are public infrastructure assets (universities,
hospitals, airports, rail and highways and communications networks).
The USA corrected some of these shortcomings of its GDP in 1996,
by accounting for such public assets as "savings" thus reducing
the US deficit figure.
Although the World Bank's Wealth Index, initiated
in 1995 recommends accounting for such assets, including social
capital (e.g., civic organizations, well-run cities and social services)
and human capital (intellectual assets, culture) few in financial
circles bother to assess or include such data on sustainability
and quality of life. Another example is the Economic Report on Africa
2003, UN Economic Commission for Africa, July 2003 (http://www.uneca.org
era 2003). The best performers by GDP per capita growth rates were
Mozambique, Rwanda and Uganda, whose economies grew by 12%, 9.9%
and 6.2% respectively. But, as pointed out (The Economist, Aug.
16, 2003, p. 68) all three economies had been ravaged by wars and
despite over a decade of peace, none had regained its pre-war level
of prosperity. Growth rates must be related to baselines. All three
countries depend on charity. Aid accounts for 50% of Uganda's national
government budget; in Rwanda it's 60% and Mozambique 70%. The highly-aggregated
GDP measures also obscure large areas of stagnation with growth
of incomes occurring largely in their capital cities with huge regional
disparities in poverty-ridden rural areas. These current examples
of the problems of over-averaged statistics are the reason for the
unbundled systems approach of our Calvert-Henderson Quality of Life
Indicators.
The US economy in 2005 averaged an unemployment rate of 5%,
much fueled by household debt, domestic and trade deficits.
This figure omits millions of discouraged workers
no longer counted among those seeking work. Growing awareness of
the need to "unpack" such macro-economic indicators led to many
media stories on the "hidden unemployment" of those discouraged
job seekers, under-employed part-timers, structurally-unemployed
youth and minorities (click on the Employment Indicator). Another
anomaly is that the spurt in hourly productivity (up about 4% over
last year) translates into fewer jobs as companies strive for efficiency
and profits by downsizing their workforces. The10-year study by
The Russell Sage and Rockefeller Foundations of the changing structure
of US employment and declining average wages pointed to some startling
conclusions. Almost one American worker in five reported having
been paid less than $8 per hour in 2001. Furthermore, the median
American worker's real hourly wages rose only 7% between 1973 and
2001 (click on Income Indicator) according to The State of Working
America, published by the Economic Policy Institute -- EPI President,
Lawrence Mishel serves on our Advisory Board ().
Business Week (May 31, 2004) ran a cover story on the issues
of the working poor and called for increasing the US minimum wage
to $7 per hour. This would not be a real increase but merely correct
for inflation.
Why are returns to capital outpacing returns to employees?
Why do ordinary American workers get to keep less
of what they produce than ordinary workers in other rich countries?
The Russell Sage - Rockefeller Foundations' reports on why the gap
between rich and poor is wider than in most other rich democracies:
"its politics, stupid"! These differences in income distribution
seem to be traceable to differences in constitutional arrangements,
electoral systems and economic institutions. These differences,
in turn, affect the political balance, the level of spending on
the welfare state and a wide range of other economic policies. Economic
inequality is less pronounced in countries that favor multi-party
systems and proportional representation (rather than a two-party
system) and produce more equal economic outcomes. A summary of this
ground-breaking research was published in The American Prospect,
January 2004 ().
Journals cover the growing debate about quality
of life in both the USA and Canada. We are proud to have helped
lead this debate. In the USA, a member of our Advisory Board, Jeff
Madrick, editor of the journal Challenge and regular columnist
for the New York Times, edits Indicators: The
Journal of Social Health to report on those who are measuring
quality of life. Madrick noted in his inaugural Letter from the
Editor "For too long, the nation's gross domestic product (GDP)
has borne, almost alone it seems, the responsibility of measuring
how well-off we are...But consider what GNP does not measure: the
distribution of income, the hours people must work, household labor,
the degradation of the environment, the use of leisure time....
It tells us little about education, healthcare or job satisfaction...nor
does it distinguish between kinds of investment in the future of
our economy."
These are all issues covered by the Calvert-Henderson
Quality of Life Indicators since our inception (see our desk
reference manual published in January 2000, available from the Calvert
Group, PO Box 30348, Bethesda, MD 20814 or at Amazon.com). In my
article for Madrick's Challenge (December 1996) What's
New in the Great Debate About Wealth and Progress, I made the
same points. In Canada, Ron Coleman's journal, Reality Check, covers
this burgeoning new debate. Recent issues contain in-depth examinations
of how Canada accounts for its wealth of forest resources and how
more accurate valuation of these ecological assets could protect
them from over-exploitation; how conventional economic measures
distort our sense of who's well-off and who's not, as well as the
Canadian government's $9 million commitment to develop indicators
of environmentally-sustainable development ().
Reality Check illustrated the importance
of more comprehensive macro indicators, with examples of how measuring
the social costs of technological choices can led to better national
policies in Canada's transportation and food systems ().
Other initiatives include early stage work on Quality of Life Indicators
for Mexico City and the City of Shanghai, China; a Local Sustainability
Certification initiative by the Institute for Political Ecology,
Santiago, Chile ().
A set of indicators, Social Watch 2003 was released at the World
Social Forum in Brasil, a Citizens Report on the Quality of Life
in the World. This is available on a CD ().
Japan for Sustainability is a non-profit platform for disseminating
information on Japan's progress toward sustainability ().
The European Commissions Joint Research Center is continuing work
on its Dashboard Tool for Measuring Policy Performance, designed
by the Consultative Group on Sustainable Development Indices (CGSDI).
Their Policy Performance Index (PPI) evaluates governmental policy
and performance on Economy, Environment and Social Care. Contact
Jochen Jesinghaus for updates at .
The contrasting paradigms have crystallized between the Davos-based
World Economic Forum vis-à-vis the World Social Forum in
Porto Alegre, Brasil.
.
For an overview of these "life satisfaction" methodological approaches,
see Life Satisfaction: the state of knowledge and implications
for government, by Nick Donovan and David Halpern, with Richard
Sargent, commissioned by the cabinet of Office Strategy Unit of
the British government. The group surveyed national and cultural
differences and trends. For example in Denmark the percentage of
people who were "very satisfied" with the quality of lives rose
from 51% in 1973 to 64% in 2001. By contrast, in Belgium during
the same period, the "very satisfieds" fell from 44% to 18%. The
study ranges over genetic and demographic factors to work, unemployment,
inequality (both caused serious loss of satisfaction), to health
(a crucial factor), and education, which had very little effect.
Social life and leisure were key contributors to a satisfied life
- as our Calvert-Henderson Re-Creation Indicator also shows. Relationships
with spouses, family and community were also key, as well as freedom
and democracy (for details, contact
).
As we now see, social, environmental, and ethical
auditing and the "triple bottom line" of the Global Reporting
Initiative (GRI) are now matched by a host of new macro-level and
global indicators and indexes. Our Calvert-Henderson Quality
of Life Indicators were introduced to the professional statistical
community in 2000, developed as a new tool for assessing national
trends in the USA. Since this release of our technical reference
manual in January 2000, our Quality of Life Indicators have been
widely and favorably reviewed (see "Endorsements").
They have been presented at professional conferences in Canada,
Mexico, Brasil, Chile, Japan, Australia, New Zealand, China, and
Venezuela, as well as at United Nations conferences and in Germany,
Britain, Sweden, Poland, Czech Republic and many other European
countries. During my visits to Brasil, I have presented the Calvert-Henderson
Indicators before many government, business and civic society organizations
as well as on a half-hour program on TV Cultura (videocassettes
available upon request; see ).
Our Indicators serve as a backdrop and thematic underpinning
of the financial lifestyle TV series airing in the USA on PBS.
Both macro and micro sets of social and environmental
indicators are proliferating; for example, the "Social Health
of the States" released annually
by Marc J. Miringoff (Miringoff 2001) of Fordham University's
Institute for Innovation in Social Policy (also a former consultant
to the Calvert-Henderson Quality of Life Indicators). Examples
of environmental and sustainability indicators abound in many states,
from Maine to Oregon. Other indicators follow the pioneering work
of the annual United Nations Human Development Index, launched in
1990. They include "The Well-being of Nations"
compiled across 180 countries by Robert Prescott-Allen (Prescott-Allen
2001). All these attest to the growing importance of measuring both
corporate and governments' social performance and societies'
overall quality of life. In 2000, the Calvert Group launched the
Calvert Social Index of around 600 socially responsible corporations.
The Dow Jones Sustainability Group Index launched in 1999 and in
2001, London's FTSE100 launched its own FTSE4 Good, and Brasil's
stock exchange, BOVESPA, launched its New Market Index of socially-responsible
companies, which has out-performed its main index by a steady 1%
ever since.
The post-Enron climate of questioning financial markets,
auditing standards and political corruption has accelerated these
trends toward greater transparency and accountability. Canada has
become a leader in quality of life and sustainability indicators
and we have developed a working relationship with many of our Canadian
colleagues at the National Roundtable on the Economy and the Environment
(www.nrtee-trnee.ca) and the Canadian Policy Research Network Ottawa
(www.cprn.org). The Toronto Globe and Mail reported, on January
7, 2002, the North American Commission for Environmental Cooperation's
latest finding that: "The health of [the North American] environment
that sustains 394 million people and an economy worth US $9 trillion
is at risk." The Commission, set up by the NAFTA partners,
the USA, Canada and Mexico, assesses the sustainability of these
three economies.
Many governments have joined in the move toward
sustainability and quality of life concerns. Following the Agenda
21 Agreement they signed at the Earth Summit in 1992 in Rio de Janeiro,
170 countries promised to overhaul their national accounts, specifically
Gross National Product (GNP) and its narrower version Gross Domestic
Product (GDP). These were to be expanded to account for environmental
assets, the costs of depletion and pollution, as well as social
and human "capital" (social cohesion, community and family
values, healthy, well-educated people). As this evolution of the
field of social and environmental indicators continues, many are
designated as indicators of sustainable development, defined in
the Brundtland Commission report, Our Common Future, as "development
which meets the needs of the present without compromising the ability
of future generations to meet their own needs" (WCED 1987).
Increasingly, global civic watchdog organizations from Amnesty International
and Transparency International (which targets corruption) to Greenpeace
assess governmental responsibility for social and environmental
as well as economic performance.
Civic groups worldwide since 1992
have created The Earth Charter (www.earthcharter.org),
now recognized as a universal declaration of human responsibilities,
which complements the Universal Declaration of Human Rights. The
sixteen principles of The Earth Charter have been adopted by many
cities worldwide. As an early supporter of The Earth Charter, I
am proud that our partner, The Calvert Group, was the first major
company to endorse the Charter. A set of Earth Charter Indicators is being
initiated and I am happy to be serving on its Advisory Board.
A new indicators project was launched in December 2003 by the Earth Charter
Action Partnership to assist cities around the world that support the Earth
Charter in clarifying priorities, goals, targets and measuring progress toward
Earth Charter principles (www. EarthCharter.org). The World Resources Institute,
which had developed ECAST (the Earth Charter Action Support Tool) will coordinate the
project with an Advisory Committee on which I am pleased to serve.
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